The Bold Arc
The latest on the accelerating Arc of Human Progress.  Seize yours.
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Safety & Security

Safety & Security

More People Live Under Democracy Today Than at Any Point in Human History

In 1900, there were almost no democracies on earth. A handful of partial exceptions existed — fragile parliaments, constrained monarchies, limited franchises. But genuine self-governance, by any reasonable modern definition, covered less than 1% of the world’s population. The default...

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Safety & Security The Air Is Cleaner. The Rivers Are Recovering. The Environmental Arc Was Always Going to Bend Up.

In 1969, the Cuyahoga River in Cleveland, Ohio, caught fire. Oil slicks and industrial waste on the river surface ignited — not for the first time; the river had caught fire at least 13 times before, dating back to 1868....

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Safety & Security More of the World Lives Under Rule of Law Today Than at Any Point in History

3× Increase in the share of world population living under some form of rule of law since 1900 — from under 20% to over 60% Source: Our World in Data / V-Dem Project / Freedom House In 1900, fewer than...

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Safety & Security The Great Crime Collapse: Violent Crime in America Fell 50% in 30 Years

-50% U.S. violent crime rate decline from its 1991 peak to 2022 — from 758 to roughly 380 per 100,000 people Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reports / Bureau of Justice Statistics The American violent crime rate peaked in 1991 at...

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Safety & Security Natural Disasters Kill 95% Fewer People Than They Did 100 Years Ago

>90% Reduction in death rates from natural disasters over the last century, despite population more than tripling Source: Our World in Data / EM-DAT Emergency Events Database In the 1920s, natural disasters—floods, storms, droughts, earthquakes—killed well over a million people...

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Safety & Security Humanity Is Less Violent Than at Any Point in Recorded History. The Data Is Overwhelming.

Every decade, the numbers improve. War deaths, homicide rates, genocide deaths, violent crime — all trending down over the long arc. The feeling that the world is getting more dangerous is not supported by a single major dataset.

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Safety & Security Space Changed How Wars Are Fought. The Side Without It Loses.

Starlink transformed the Ukraine battlefield in 72 hours. GPS guides munitions 100x more precisely than unguided weapons. Space is no longer about prestige — it is the infrastructure layer of modern warfare.

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Safety & Security The World Runs Through Chokepoints. That’s Both the Risk and the Opportunity.

The Strait of Hormuz. Undersea internet cables. Chinese rare earth processing. Every system civilization depends on passes through a bottleneck. The companies solving for resilience are building the next great fortunes.

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